{"id":5815,"date":"2008-12-14T00:27:19","date_gmt":"2008-12-14T07:47:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.amptoons.com\/blog\/?p=5815"},"modified":"2008-12-14T00:27:19","modified_gmt":"2008-12-14T07:47:07","slug":"paul-krugman-cant-be-pessimistic-enough","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/?p=5815","title":{"rendered":"Paul Krugman Can&#039;t Be Pessimistic Enough"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Paul Krugman engages in some negative speculation on <a href=\"http:\/\/krugman.blogs.nytimes.com\/2008\/12\/04\/worries-about-next-year\/\">December 4th<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The economy is falling fast. We\u2019ll see what tomorrow\u2019s employment report says, but we could well be losing jobs at a rate of 450,000 or 500,000 a month.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Remember, that number was Krugman <em>attempting to be pessimistic<\/em>. Then, <a href=\"http:\/\/krugman.blogs.nytimes.com\/2008\/12\/11\/nosedive\/\">only a week later<\/a>, after he&#8217;s read a fresh report on unemployment claims:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>So are we now losing jobs at the rate of 600,000 a month? 700,000?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I&#8217;m not criticizing Krugman; I don&#8217;t think anyone has done a better job of talking about the economic crisis. I just find it notable: <em>even a pessimistic, liberal economist can&#8217;t be pessimistic enough<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Are you terrified? I am.<\/p>\n<p>A chart of our plummeting employment, provided by <a href=\"http:\/\/krugman.blogs.nytimes.com\/2008\/12\/06\/terrible-employment-numbers\/\">yet another Krugman post<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/lostdecade.png\" alt=\"\" title=\"lostdecade\" width=\"402\" height=\"242\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-5818\" srcset=\"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/lostdecade.png 402w, https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/lostdecade-300x180.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 402px) 100vw, 402px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s really bad, it&#8217;s just getting started, and it&#8217;s worldwide. I hope all &#8220;Alas&#8221; readers have stable jobs and a supportive community, because it&#8217;s going to be a lousy two years to be out in the cold.<\/p>\n<p><strong>UPDATE<\/strong>: In comments, <a href=\"http:\/\/disstud.blogspot.com\/\">Penny <\/a>writes:<\/p>\n<p>Definitely all kinds of reasons for serious pessimism, but starting the graph in 1999 maximizes the drop; here\u2019s <a href=\"http:\/\/research.stlouisfed.org\/fred2\/series\/EMRATIO\/\">the long view since the late 1940s<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/research.stlouisfed.org\/fred2\/series\/EMRATIO\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/emratio_historic.png\" alt=\"\" title=\"emratio_historic\" width=\"500\" height=\"300\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-5822\" srcset=\"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/emratio_historic.png 500w, https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/12\/emratio_historic-300x180.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Paul Krugman engages in some negative speculation on December 4th: The economy is falling fast. We\u2019ll see what tomorrow\u2019s employment report says, but we could well be losing jobs at a rate of 450,000 or 500,000 a month. Remember, that &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/?p=5815\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5815","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics-and-the-like"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5815","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5815"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5815\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5815"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5815"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amptoons.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5815"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}